Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-03-19 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VAN: 48.6%

CGY: 51.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.28

CGY: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	44	39	5	88.6%	4.91	4	-0.09
CGY	Dan Vladar	25	23	2	92.0%	1.57	1	-0.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • VAN at home vs CGY: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	6	0	0.20
1	CGY	26	2	1.86
2	VAN	12	0	0.56
2	CGY	18	1	1.66
3	VAN	18	1	0.81
3	CGY	17	1	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1