Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-03-19 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

VGK: 50.7%

LAK: 49.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.01

LAK: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

VGK

L. Thompson

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Thompson	39	38	1	97.4%	2.58	0	1.58
LAK	C. Petersen	24	19	5	79.2%	3.28	2	-1.72

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VGK at home vs LAK: 5-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	14	0	1.27
1	LAK	15	0	0.97
2	VGK	11	0	0.82
2	LAK	16	0	0.78
3	VGK	9	2	1.19
3	LAK	22	0	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1