Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2022-03-19 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 61.5%
DET: 38.5%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.42
DET: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
DET
A. Nedeljkovic
| Stat | SEA | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 23 | 21 | 2 | 91.3% | 1.60 | 1 | -0.40 |
| DET | A. Nedeljkovic | 42 | 38 | 4 | 90.5% | 5.09 | 4 | 1.09 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SEA at home vs DET: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | SEA 3 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-11-18 | DET 4 - 2 SEA | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-04 | SEA 4 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-12 | DET 6 - 2 SEA | DET | DET |
| 2024-02-19 | SEA 3 - 4 DET | DET | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 22 | 2 | 1.68 |
| 1 | DET | 8 | 0 | 0.26 |
| 2 | SEA | 14 | 0 | 1.19 |
| 2 | DET | 12 | 1 | 0.85 |
| 3 | SEA | 20 | 2 | 2.22 |
| 3 | DET | 11 | 0 | 0.49 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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