New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2022-03-20 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

PHI: 64.4%

NYI: 35.6%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.10

NYI: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

PHI

C. Hart

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	27	26	1	96.3%	1.93	0	0.93
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	37	35	2	94.6%	2.54	1	0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • PHI at home vs NYI: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	14	0	0.40
1	NYI	10	0	0.58
2	PHI	20	0	1.15
2	NYI	15	0	0.74
3	PHI	14	1	1.00
3	NYI	13	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3