Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-21 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

MIN: 54.0%

VGK: 46.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.13

VGK: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

MIN

C. Talbot

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	28	28	0	100.0%	2.06	0	2.06
VGK	L. Thompson	36	33	3	91.7%	4.45	4	1.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • MIN at home vs VGK: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	VGK
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	20	1	1.30
1	VGK	11	0	0.43
2	MIN	12	0	0.58
2	VGK	15	0	0.78
3	MIN	16	3	2.57
3	VGK	13	0	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9