Seattle Kraken at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions
2022-03-22 • Gila River Arena
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ARI: 40.5%
SEA: 59.5%
Expected Goals
ARI: 2.88
SEA: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ARI
K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
| Stat | ARI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.891 | 0.920 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.67 | 2.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | K. Vejmelka | 39 | 35 | 4 | 89.7% | 3.31 | 1 | -0.69 |
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 26 | 24 | 2 | 92.3% | 2.33 | 0 | 0.33 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs SEA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | SEA 5 - 0 ARI | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-03-22 | ARI 2 - 1 SEA | ARI | ARI |
| 2023-11-07 | ARI 4 - 3 SEA | ARI | ARI |
| 2023-04-10 | ARI 1 - 4 SEA | SEA | ARI |
| 2023-04-06 | SEA 4 - 2 ARI | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 11 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 1 | SEA | 22 | 0 | 1.06 |
| 2 | ARI | 17 | 0 | 1.65 |
| 2 | SEA | 18 | 0 | 0.83 |
| 3 | ARI | 8 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 3 | SEA | 15 | 1 | 1.42 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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