Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-03-23 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 52.9%

CHI: 47.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.21

CHI: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

CHI

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	28	24	4	85.7%	3.54	1	-0.46
CHI	K. Lankinen	29	27	2	93.1%	3.06	3	1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • ANA at home vs CHI: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	ANA 7 - 1 CHI	ANA	ANA
2025-11-30	CHI 5 - 3 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-10-19	CHI 2 - 1 ANA	CHI	CHI
2025-03-01	ANA 3 - 6 CHI	CHI	ANA
2024-11-19	CHI 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	5	0	0.33
1	CHI	12	0	1.23
2	ANA	17	2	1.38
2	CHI	11	0	0.67
3	ANA	17	1	1.35
3	CHI	14	1	1.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1