Florida Panthers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2022-03-24 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

MTL: 33.1%

FLA: 66.9%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.63

FLA: 2.09

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 56%

MTL

J. Allen

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	J. Allen	42	38	4	90.5%	4.44	2	0.44
FLA	Spencer Knight	31	28	3	90.3%	3.35	1	0.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • MTL at home vs FLA: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MTL 4 - 3 FLA	MTL	FLA
2026-01-08	MTL 6 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-12-30	FLA 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-01	MTL 3 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-03-30	FLA 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	8	0	0.65
1	FLA	20	0	1.58
2	MTL	19	1	1.45
2	FLA	19	1	1.65
3	MTL	13	0	1.24
3	FLA	13	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 4.7

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.6 - 2.1