Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-03-22 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NYI: 52.9%

OTT: 47.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.53

OTT: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	24	24	0	100.0%	1.79	1	1.79
OTT	Anton Forsberg	27	24	3	88.9%	2.73	1	-0.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NYI at home vs OTT: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NYI 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-03-19	OTT 3 - 2 NYI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-18	OTT 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	OTT
2025-01-14	NYI 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-08	OTT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	11	0	0.78
1	OTT	15	0	0.70
2	NYI	9	0	0.55
2	OTT	6	1	0.62
3	NYI	15	1	1.40
3	OTT	8	0	0.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2