Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-03-24 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 71.2%

VAN: 28.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.49

VAN: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

MIN

C. Talbot

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	28	26	2	92.9%	1.61	1	-0.39
VAN	Thatcher Demko	36	33	3	91.7%	2.33	1	-0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • MIN at home vs VAN: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	11	1	0.86
1	VAN	14	0	0.46
2	MIN	13	0	0.75
2	VAN	11	0	0.45
3	MIN	18	0	0.52
3	VAN	11	1	0.61
4	MIN	1	0	0.20
4	VAN	1	0	0.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8