Columbus Blue Jackets at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-03-25 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 48.0%

CBJ: 52.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.36

CBJ: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	36	33	3	91.7%	2.78	3	-0.22
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	33	29	4	87.9%	3.85	2	-0.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	CBJ 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CBJ
2025-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 CBJ	WPG	WPG
2024-12-08	WPG 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-01	CBJ 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-17	CBJ 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	8	1	0.67
1	CBJ	15	2	1.19
2	WPG	24	0	1.54
2	CBJ	10	0	0.63
3	WPG	13	1	1.46
3	CBJ	17	1	0.85
4	WPG	1	0	0.18
4	CBJ	1	0	0.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9