Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-03-26 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Florida Panthers (SO)

Win Probability

OTT: 47.9%

FLA: 52.1%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.97

FLA: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	51	47	4	92.2%	5.61	5	1.61
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	24	21	3	87.5%	3.36	1	0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • OTT at home vs FLA: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	FLA
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	15	1	1.49
1	FLA	25	1	1.58
2	OTT	12	0	0.78
2	FLA	15	1	1.45
3	OTT	6	0	0.33
3	FLA	19	1	1.09
4	OTT	6	0	0.59
4	FLA	3	1	0.53
5	OTT	3	0	0.16
5	FLA	2	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5