Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-03-26 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

Win Probability

VGK: 64.4%

CHI: 35.6%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.71

CHI: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

VGK

L. Thompson

CHI

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Thompson	34	30	4	88.2%	3.20	0	-0.80
CHI	K. Lankinen	34	29	5	85.3%	3.08	0	-1.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • VGK at home vs CHI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	VGK 5 - 2 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	VGK	14	0.74
1	CHI	12	0.89
2	VGK	12	0.78
2	CHI	18	1.13
3	VGK	21	1.21
3	CHI	11	0.84
4	VGK	3	0.35
4	CHI	3	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8