Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-03-26 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 45.7%

ANA: 54.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.96

ANA: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

SJS

J. Reimer

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	28	27	1	96.4%	1.91	0	0.91
ANA	Lukas Dostal	24	20	4	83.3%	2.19	1	-1.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • SJS at home vs ANA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	7	1	0.57
1	ANA	13	0	1.05
2	SJS	16	0	0.73
2	ANA	14	0	0.42
3	SJS	15	0	0.89
3	ANA	10	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2