Montreal Canadiens at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-03-27 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens (SO)

Win Probability

NJD: 67.7%

MTL: 32.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.85

MTL: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	38	33	5	86.8%	7.48	6	2.48
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	38	32	6	84.2%	7.94	9	1.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs MTL: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	MTL 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-04-04	NJD 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NJD
2025-11-06	NJD 4 - 3 MTL	NJD	NJD
2025-02-08	MTL 0 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-01-25	MTL 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	17	3	1.86
1	MTL	11	1	1.11
2	NJD	8	0	0.76
2	MTL	14	1	1.47
3	NJD	17	1	1.07
3	MTL	17	1	1.53
4	NJD	4	1	0.58
4	MTL	3	0	0.36
5	NJD	7	4	3.67
5	MTL	7	3	3.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1