Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-03-27 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 4 Buffalo Sabres (OT)

Win Probability

NYR: 52.7%

BUF: 47.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.23

BUF: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

NYR

A. Georgiev

BUF

C. Anderson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	A. Georgiev	17	13	4	76.5%	1.38	0	-2.62
BUF	C. Anderson	31	26	5	83.9%	3.70	1	-1.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NYR at home vs BUF: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	NYR 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-08	NYR 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-09	BUF 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-22	BUF 8 - 2 NYR	BUF	NYR
2024-12-11	BUF 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	1	0.93
1	BUF	6	0	0.34
2	NYR	15	0	1.13
2	BUF	10	0	0.62
3	NYR	17	0	1.12
3	BUF	6	0	0.42
4	NYR	4	0	0.53
4	BUF	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5