Arizona Coyotes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-03-28 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

EDM: 75.0%

ARI: 25.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.50

ARI: 2.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 48%

EDM

M. Koskinen

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	32	31	1	96.9%	2.30	1	1.30
ARI	K. Vejmelka	42	36	6	85.7%	4.36	3	-1.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs ARI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-17	ARI 5 - 2 EDM	ARI	EDM
2024-04-12	EDM 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	EDM
2024-02-19	ARI 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2023-03-27	ARI 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2023-03-22	EDM 4 - 3 ARI	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	20	0	1.13
1	ARI	11	0	0.70
2	EDM	26	3	2.69
2	ARI	14	1	0.62
3	EDM	11	0	0.54
3	ARI	16	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 2.3