Montreal Canadiens at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-03-29 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 7 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

FLA: 64.0%

MTL: 36.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.64

MTL: 2.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 49%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	24	20	4	83.3%	2.87	5	-1.13
MTL	J. Allen	46	39	7	84.8%	6.43	6	-0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • FLA at home vs MTL: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MTL 4 - 3 FLA	MTL	FLA
2026-01-08	MTL 6 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-12-30	FLA 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-01	MTL 3 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-03-30	FLA 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	3	2.34
1	MTL	14	3	1.52
2	FLA	22	1	1.40
2	MTL	8	1	0.93
3	FLA	24	2	2.70
3	MTL	7	1	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 7 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.6 - 2.1