Ottawa Senators at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-03-29 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NSH: 51.7%

OTT: 48.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.12

OTT: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	37	36	1	97.3%	3.44	1	2.44
OTT	Anton Forsberg	32	28	4	87.5%	4.18	3	0.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	NSH 5 - 3 OTT	NSH	OTT
2025-10-13	OTT 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	OTT
2025-02-03	NSH 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	NSH
2024-12-07	OTT 3 - 1 NSH	OTT	OTT
2024-02-27	NSH 4 - 1 OTT	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	0	0.54
1	OTT	18	0	1.60
2	NSH	15	0	1.13
2	OTT	18	1	1.24
3	NSH	16	3	2.51
3	OTT	11	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8