Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-03-29 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

ANA: 48.3%

DAL: 51.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.10

DAL: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	32	29	3	90.6%	4.35	1	1.35
DAL	Jake Oettinger	28	26	2	92.9%	3.03	2	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs DAL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	8	0	0.83
1	DAL	13	0	0.87
2	ANA	16	1	1.17
2	DAL	18	0	1.60
3	ANA	15	1	1.03
3	DAL	20	1	1.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3