Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2022-03-30 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 50.1%
LAK: 49.9%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.23
LAK: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
M. Koskinen
LAK
J. Quick
| Stat | EDM | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | M. Koskinen | 43 | 40 | 3 | 93.0% | 3.32 | 1 | 0.32 |
| LAK | J. Quick | 36 | 31 | 5 | 86.1% | 5.33 | 6 | 0.33 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • EDM at home vs LAK: 14-8
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | LAK 1 - 0 EDM | LAK | EDM |
| 2026-02-26 | LAK 1 - 8 EDM | EDM | LAK |
| 2026-01-10 | EDM 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | EDM |
| 2025-05-01 | EDM 6 - 4 LAK | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-29 | LAK 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDM | 17 | 2 | 1.34 |
| 1 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 2 | EDM | 10 | 1 | 0.77 |
| 2 | LAK | 11 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 3 | EDM | 15 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 3 | LAK | 21 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 4 | EDM | 5 | 1 | 0.69 |
| 4 | LAK | 3 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 5 | EDM | 2 | 2 | 1.64 |
| 5 | LAK | 2 | 0 | 0.18 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
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