St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-03-30 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

VAN: 49.7%

STL: 50.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.10

STL: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 51%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	24	20	4	83.3%	3.33	2	-0.67
STL	V. Husso	25	22	3	88.0%	2.28	1	-0.72

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	0	0.58
1	STL	9	1	0.91
2	VAN	13	0	0.85
2	STL	13	1	1.49
3	VAN	13	1	0.85
3	STL	9	0	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9