Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-03-30 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

SEA: 45.2%

VGK: 54.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.87

VGK: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

SEA

C. Driedger

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	C. Driedger	30	27	3	90.0%	4.78	3	1.78
VGK	L. Thompson	22	22	0	100.0%	1.76	0	1.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	11	0	1.07
1	VGK	11	1	1.01
2	SEA	12	0	0.50
2	VGK	24	0	1.81
3	SEA	7	0	0.20
3	VGK	15	2	1.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0