New Jersey Devils at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-03-31 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 8 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

BOS: 52.3%

NJD: 47.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.09

NJD: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 54%

BOS

L. Ullmark

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	26	25	1	96.2%	2.64	0	1.64
NJD	Nico Daws	40	32	8	80.0%	4.02	3	-3.98

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs NJD: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	15	1	0.93
1	NJD	13	0	1.31
2	BOS	20	1	1.74
2	NJD	14	0	0.73
3	BOS	16	1	1.35
3	NJD	10	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 8 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9