Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2022-03-31 • FLA Live Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 63.5%
CHI: 36.5%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.58
CHI: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA
CHI
C. Delia
| Stat | FLA | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | Sergei Bobrovsky | 37 | 37 | 0 | 100.0% | 3.56 | 4 | 3.56 |
| CHI | C. Delia | 44 | 40 | 4 | 90.9% | 3.42 | 2 | -0.58 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • FLA at home vs CHI: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | CHI 1 - 5 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-07 | FLA 3 - 2 CHI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-02-01 | FLA 5 - 1 CHI | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-11-21 | CHI 3 - 1 FLA | CHI | FLA |
| 2023-11-12 | FLA 4 - 3 CHI | FLA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 21 | 1 | 1.15 |
| 1 | CHI | 20 | 0 | 1.24 |
| 2 | FLA | 15 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 2 | CHI | 22 | 4 | 1.56 |
| 3 | FLA | 17 | 0 | 1.24 |
| 3 | CHI | 15 | 0 | 0.76 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.6 - 3.0
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