Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-03-31 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Dallas Stars (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 51.4%

DAL: 48.6%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.91

DAL: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 50%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	35	32	3	91.4%	3.31	3	0.31
DAL	Jake Oettinger	23	21	2	91.3%	1.92	0	-0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs DAL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	6	0	0.37
1	DAL	16	2	1.01
2	ANA	11	0	0.53
2	DAL	15	0	1.11
3	ANA	14	0	0.91
3	DAL	15	1	0.92
4	ANA	1	0	0.10
4	DAL	2	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2