St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-04-01 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 St. Louis Blues (OT)

Win Probability

EDM: 57.6%

STL: 42.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.65

STL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

EDM

M. Smith

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Smith	36	31	5	86.1%	4.13	3	-0.87
STL	Jordan Binnington	40	34	6	85.0%	3.31	0	-2.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs STL: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	STL
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	22	0	2.07
1	STL	13	0	1.09
2	EDM	14	0	0.65
2	STL	16	2	1.64
3	EDM	13	0	0.42
3	STL	14	1	1.23
4	EDM	1	0	0.18
4	STL	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.7 - 3.1