Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-04-02 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 6 - 7 Florida Panthers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 50.5%

FLA: 49.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.99

FLA: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 56%

NJD

A. Hammond

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	A. Hammond	41	34	7	82.9%	3.30	2	-3.70
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	25	6	80.6%	2.33	1	-3.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NJD at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	1	0.78
1	FLA	8	0	0.29
2	NJD	17	0	1.32
2	FLA	15	0	0.60
3	NJD	6	0	0.21
3	FLA	25	2	2.28
4	NJD	1	0	0.02
4	FLA	3	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 6 - 7 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4