Los Angeles Kings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-04-02 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 52.5%

LAK: 47.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.12

LAK: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 47%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	38	35	3	92.1%	3.31	3	0.31
LAK	C. Petersen	27	25	2	92.6%	2.61	0	0.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • WPG at home vs LAK: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-09	WPG 5 - 1 LAK	WPG	LAK
2025-11-04	LAK 3 - 0 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-10-11	WPG 3 - 2 LAK	WPG	LAK
2025-04-01	LAK 4 - 1 WPG	LAK	LAK
2025-01-10	WPG 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	8	0	0.63
1	LAK	24	1	1.35
2	WPG	18	0	1.31
2	LAK	14	1	0.85
3	WPG	13	0	0.67
3	LAK	9	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9