Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-04-02 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

SJS: 37.1%

DAL: 62.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.83

DAL: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

DAL

S. Wedgewood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	29	24	5	82.8%	2.57	1	-2.43
DAL	S. Wedgewood	28	24	4	85.7%	2.52	1	-1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SJS at home vs DAL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	SJS 5 - 4 DAL	SJS	SJS
2025-12-18	SJS 3 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-05	DAL 4 - 1 SJS	DAL	DAL
2025-02-08	SJS 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-20	DAL 5 - 2 SJS	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.67
1	DAL	20	1	1.11
2	SJS	15	0	0.73
2	DAL	13	0	0.75
3	SJS	14	1	1.13
3	DAL	10	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 5 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2