Boston Bruins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2022-04-04 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 Boston Bruins (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 36.8%
BOS: 63.2%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.70
BOS: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA
BOS
L. Ullmark
| Stat | CBJ | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.877 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 4.04 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | Elvis Merzlikins | 37 | 34 | 3 | 91.9% | 2.95 | 1 | -0.05 |
| BOS | L. Ullmark | 22 | 20 | 2 | 90.9% | 2.57 | 1 | 0.57 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs BOS: 2-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | CBJ 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | CBJ |
| 2026-03-29 | CBJ 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | CBJ |
| 2026-02-26 | BOS 4 - 2 CBJ | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-12-28 | BOS 4 - 0 CBJ | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-12-27 | CBJ 6 - 2 BOS | CBJ | BOS |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 13 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 1 | BOS | 11 | 0 | 0.93 |
| 2 | CBJ | 9 | 1 | 0.75 |
| 2 | BOS | 14 | 1 | 0.80 |
| 3 | CBJ | 12 | 0 | 0.93 |
| 3 | BOS | 16 | 0 | 0.88 |
| 4 | CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | BOS | 3 | 0 | 0.34 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.7 - 3.4
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