Arizona Coyotes at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-04-04 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

STL: 74.6%

ARI: 25.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 4.19

ARI: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 51%

STL

V. Husso

ARI

I. Prosvetov

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	V. Husso	22	21	1	95.5%	2.11	1	1.11
ARI	I. Prosvetov	29	24	5	82.8%	3.55	0	-1.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • STL at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-02	ARI 4 - 1 STL	ARI	ARI
2023-11-22	ARI 5 - 6 STL	STL	ARI
2023-11-09	STL 2 - 1 ARI	STL	ARI
2023-10-19	STL 2 - 6 ARI	ARI	STL
2023-03-07	ARI 6 - 2 STL	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	18	0	1.50
1	ARI	10	0	0.36
2	STL	15	0	1.19
2	ARI	12	0	1.09
3	STL	9	0	0.86
3	ARI	9	1	0.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 4.2 - 2.9