Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-04-04 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

LAK: 47.1%

CGY: 52.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.87

CGY: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

LAK

C. Petersen

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	C. Petersen	33	30	3	90.9%	3.18	0	0.18
CGY	J. Markstrom	29	27	2	93.1%	3.37	2	1.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • LAK at home vs CGY: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	15	0	0.68
1	CGY	18	0	1.29
2	LAK	14	0	0.90
2	CGY	24	0	1.44
3	LAK	20	2	1.80
3	CGY	11	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1