New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-04-05 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 59.3%

NYR: 40.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.28

NYR: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

NYR

A. Georgiev

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	17	14	3	82.4%	2.23	1	-0.77
NYR	A. Georgiev	21	20	1	95.2%	1.97	0	0.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NJD at home vs NYR: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	9	0	0.59
1	NYR	19	1	1.59
2	NJD	12	0	0.82
2	NYR	5	0	0.42
3	NJD	13	0	0.56
3	NYR	6	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7