Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-04-06 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 65.2%

DET: 34.8%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.68

DET: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

DET

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	35	32	3	91.4%	3.98	1	0.98
DET	T. Greiss	33	32	1	97.0%	3.69	3	2.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs DET: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	WPG 1 - 5 DET	DET	WPG
2025-12-31	DET 2 - 1 WPG	DET	DET
2025-01-04	WPG 2 - 4 DET	DET	WPG
2024-10-30	DET 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2023-12-20	WPG 5 - 2 DET	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	21	3	1.88
1	DET	7	0	0.42
2	WPG	10	0	0.61
2	DET	24	0	1.74
3	WPG	18	0	1.21
3	DET	13	1	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 2.7 - 2.9