Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-04-09 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 54.2%

CBJ: 45.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.17

CBJ: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 53%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	33	28	5	84.8%	2.84	1	-2.16
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	38	34	4	89.5%	2.66	0	-1.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DET at home vs CBJ: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	DET 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-04	CBJ 6 - 5 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-22	DET 4 - 3 CBJ	DET	DET
2025-03-01	CBJ 5 - 3 DET	CBJ	DET
2025-02-27	DET 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	0.61
1	CBJ	21	0	0.82
2	DET	15	0	0.89
2	CBJ	13	0	0.74
3	DET	13	0	0.84
3	CBJ	11	1	0.90
4	DET	4	0	0.32
4	CBJ	5	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0