Florida Panthers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-04-09 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 52.5%

FLA: 47.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.76

FLA: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	25	21	4	84.0%	3.31	2	-0.69
FLA	Spencer Knight	25	24	1	96.0%	2.45	0	1.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs FLA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-04	FLA 1 - 2 NSH	NSH	FLA
2025-11-24	NSH 3 - 8 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-02-25	NSH 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-07	FLA 6 - 2 NSH	FLA	FLA
2024-03-21	FLA 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.57
1	FLA	8	0	0.79
2	NSH	18	0	1.46
2	FLA	13	1	1.16
3	NSH	12	0	0.42
3	FLA	14	1	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3