Anaheim Ducks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-04-10 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

CAR: 70.6%

ANA: 29.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.50

ANA: 2.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 51%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	25	23	2	92.0%	1.36	1	-0.64
ANA	John Gibson	43	38	5	88.4%	5.44	3	0.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CAR at home vs ANA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	CAR 5 - 2 ANA	CAR	CAR
2025-10-16	ANA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-23	ANA 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-01-12	CAR 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CAR
2024-01-11	CAR 6 - 3 ANA	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	25	0	1.81
1	ANA	12	1	0.63
2	CAR	28	1	1.72
2	ANA	12	0	0.50
3	CAR	13	2	1.92
3	ANA	7	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.1