Edmonton Oilers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-04-12 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

MIN: 56.0%

EDM: 44.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.32

EDM: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

MIN

C. Talbot

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	28	27	1	96.4%	1.83	0	0.83
EDM	M. Koskinen	23	18	5	78.3%	2.91	2	-2.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs EDM: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	1	1.32
1	EDM	10	0	0.43
2	MIN	11	0	1.05
2	EDM	18	0	0.68
3	MIN	5	1	0.54
3	EDM	12	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9