Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-04-12 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

DET: 45.6%

OTT: 54.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.02

OTT: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

DET

T. Greiss

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	T. Greiss	32	28	4	87.5%	4.16	2	0.16
OTT	Anton Forsberg	25	24	1	96.0%	1.92	0	0.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DET at home vs OTT: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DET 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	DET
2026-02-26	OTT 1 - 2 DET	DET	OTT
2026-01-18	DET 4 - 3 OTT	DET	DET
2026-01-05	OTT 3 - 5 DET	DET	OTT
2025-03-27	DET 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	0	0.56
1	OTT	19	0	1.34
2	DET	10	0	0.64
2	OTT	12	0	0.71
3	DET	11	0	0.72
3	OTT	13	2	2.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4