Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2022-04-29 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

PIT: 70.2%

CBJ: 29.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.52

CBJ: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

PIT

C. DeSmith

CBJ

J. Berube

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	C. DeSmith	36	33	3	91.7%	3.27	0	0.27
CBJ	J. Berube	50	45	5	90.0%	5.01	3	0.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • PIT at home vs CBJ: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	22	1	1.35
1	CBJ	19	0	1.05
2	PIT	23	0	1.56
2	CBJ	11	0	0.85
3	PIT	20	2	2.10
3	CBJ	19	0	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8