New Jersey Devils at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-04-12 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

ARI: 37.5%

NJD: 62.5%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.17

NJD: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	38	32	6	84.2%	4.18	1	-1.82
NJD	Nico Daws	21	19	2	90.5%	2.57	2	0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs NJD: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-16	ARI 4 - 1 NJD	ARI	ARI
2023-10-13	NJD 3 - 4 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-05	ARI 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	ARI
2022-11-12	NJD 4 - 2 ARI	NJD	NJD
2022-04-12	ARI 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	1	1.22
1	NJD	11	0	1.09
2	ARI	10	0	0.49
2	NJD	22	1	1.42
3	ARI	15	1	0.86
3	NJD	19	0	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 6 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0