Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-04-13 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 9 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

COL: 59.3%

LAK: 40.7%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.26

LAK: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

COL

D. Kuemper

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	32	29	3	90.6%	1.92	0	-1.08
LAK	J. Quick	35	26	9	74.3%	2.97	0	-6.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • COL at home vs LAK: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	LAK
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	COL	20	0.68
1	LAK	11	0.44
2	COL	12	0.91
2	LAK	20	0.95
3	COL	18	1.38
3	LAK	15	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 9 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9