St. Louis Blues at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2022-04-14 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

BUF: 48.4%

STL: 51.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.14

STL: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

BUF

C. Anderson

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	C. Anderson	28	22	6	78.6%	3.32	1	-2.68
STL	Jordan Binnington	37	35	2	94.6%	4.42	1	2.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-06	BUF 0 - 3 STL	STL	BUF
2024-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-11-14	BUF 4 - 3 STL	BUF	BUF
2024-02-10	BUF 1 - 3 STL	STL	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	12	0	1.21
1	STL	16	0	1.19
2	BUF	20	0	1.58
2	STL	11	0	1.22
3	BUF	24	1	1.63
3	STL	10	1	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3