Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-04-14 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 62.9%

DET: 37.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.30

DET: 2.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

A. Raanta

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	22	19	3	86.4%	2.45	2	-0.55
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	46	46	0	100.0%	5.58	4	5.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CAR at home vs DET: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	2	1.17
1	DET	9	0	0.66
2	CAR	30	0	1.72
2	DET	13	0	0.91
3	CAR	28	2	2.68
3	DET	8	2	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.4