Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2022-04-12 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 54.0%
LAK: 46.0%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.90
LAK: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
C. Delia
LAK
J. Quick
| Stat | CHI | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | C. Delia | 36 | 31 | 5 | 86.1% | 2.87 | 1 | -2.13 |
| LAK | J. Quick | 20 | 18 | 2 | 90.0% | 2.39 | 1 | 0.39 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs LAK: 2-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | LAK 6 - 0 CHI | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-12-04 | LAK 1 - 2 CHI | CHI | LAK |
| 2025-10-26 | CHI 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | CHI |
| 2025-03-20 | CHI 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-03 | CHI 5 - 1 LAK | CHI | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 1 | LAK | 19 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 2 | CHI | 9 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 2 | LAK | 14 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 3 | CHI | 12 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 3 | LAK | 11 | 1 | 1.14 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1
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