Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-04-14 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild (OT)

Win Probability

DAL: 49.1%

MIN: 50.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.98

MIN: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

DAL

S. Wedgewood

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	S. Wedgewood	27	24	3	88.9%	2.40	1	-0.60
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	36	34	2	94.4%	3.28	2	1.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DAL at home vs MIN: 9-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	16	0	0.93
1	MIN	15	0	0.67
2	DAL	21	2	2.02
2	MIN	15	1	1.18
3	DAL	12	0	0.34
3	MIN	7	0	0.44
4	DAL	0	0	0.00
4	MIN	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1