Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-04-16 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

NYR: 51.8%

DET: 48.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.48

DET: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 56%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

DET

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	20	20	0	100.0%	1.21	0	1.21
DET	T. Greiss	37	33	4	89.2%	3.22	0	-0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs DET: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYR	24	1.27
1	DET	5	0.16
2	NYR	13	0.75
2	DET	13	0.67
3	NYR	16	1.20
3	DET	10	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 0 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2