Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-04-16 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 48.0%

CAR: 52.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.18

CAR: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

COL

D. Kuemper

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	33	29	4	87.9%	2.60	1	-1.40
CAR	Frederik Andersen	37	30	7	81.1%	3.91	3	-3.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • COL at home vs CAR: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CAR 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-10-23	COL 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-05	CAR 5 - 3 COL	CAR	CAR
2024-11-09	COL 6 - 4 CAR	COL	CAR
2024-02-08	CAR 5 - 2 COL	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	15	1	1.36
1	CAR	12	0	0.91
2	COL	17	0	1.08
2	CAR	20	1	1.24
3	COL	15	2	1.47
3	CAR	13	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 7 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0