Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-04-29 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks (SO)

Win Probability

EDM: 61.0%

VAN: 39.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.27

VAN: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 55%

EDM

M. Koskinen

VAN

S. Martin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	47	45	2	95.7%	4.02	0	2.02
VAN	S. Martin	36	33	3	91.7%	4.73	3	1.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs VAN: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	11	0	0.37
1	VAN	25	0	1.72
2	EDM	14	1	1.28
2	VAN	20	0	1.13
3	EDM	17	1	1.67
3	VAN	10	0	0.40
4	EDM	2	0	0.17
4	VAN	4	0	0.38
5	EDM	6	1	1.25
5	VAN	6	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0